Modelling Societal Collapse

Image: Herrington

Gaya Herrington, the Sustainability and Dynamic System Analysis Lead at KPMG performed a study that analysed the 1972 Club of Rome Limits To Growth model and compared it to the current state of the world. Her study found that using the Business As Usual (BAU) scenario, the world is on track from societal collapse by around 2040, and using the Comprehensive Technology (CT) scenario, a halt to growth is predicted within the next decade or so. In her own words;
"The best available data suggests that what we decide over the next 10 years will determine the long-term fate of human civilization."

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